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- The Berkshire Bounce: How Munger's Steel Nerves Turned Market Panic into Profit
The Berkshire Bounce: How Munger's Steel Nerves Turned Market Panic into Profit
If you're not willing to react with equanimity to a market price decline of 50% two or three times a century, you're not fit to be a common shareholder and you deserve the mediocre result you're going to get.
As the subprime mortgage crisis unfolded in late 2007, sending shockwaves through the global financial system, Berkshire Hathaway found itself in the eye of the storm. The company's significant holdings in financial institutions like Wells Fargo and American Express saw their values slashed. By March 2009, Berkshire's Class A shares had fallen from their peak of $147,000 to a low of $70,050, a stomach-churning 52% decline.
For many investors, such a precipitous drop would have triggered panic selling. But Munger, true to his words, viewed this not as a disaster, but as an opportunity. Instead of retreating, Berkshire went on the offensive. In October 2008, with the market in freefall, Munger and Buffett penned an op-ed in The New York Times titled "Buy American. I Am." They weren't just talking the talk; they were walking the walk.
During this period of extreme market stress, Berkshire made a series of bold moves. They invested $5 billion in Goldman Sachs, securing favorable terms that included preferred stock with a 10% dividend yield and warrants to purchase additional shares. A similar deal was struck with General Electric for $3 billion. These investments, made when fear was at its peak, would prove to be incredibly lucrative in the years to come.
But Munger's equanimity in the face of market decline wasn't just about making new investments. It was also about holding steady with existing positions. Despite the paper losses on their portfolio, Berkshire didn't liquidate its holdings in companies like Coca-Cola, American Express, or Wells Fargo. Munger understood that these were fundamentally sound businesses facing temporary headwinds.
The wisdom of this approach became apparent as the market recovered. By 2013, just five years after the crisis, Berkshire's book value had grown by 91%, outpacing the S&P 500's 57% return over the same period. The Goldman Sachs investment alone netted Berkshire a profit of $3.7 billion when it was finally unwound in 2013.
Munger's philosophy isn't about blind optimism or a failure to recognize risk. It's about understanding the nature of market cycles and the difference between price and value. As he often says, "The big money is not in the buying and selling, but in the waiting."
Think of it this way: Imagine you own a profitable farm. If someone came to you every day offering to buy your farm at a different price, would you sell just because they offered less on a particular day? Of course not. You'd understand that the farm's value is in its ability to produce crops year after year, not in the daily fluctuations of some arbitrary price quote.
This is how Munger views stocks. He sees them not as blips on a ticker, but as ownership stakes in real businesses. And just as a farmer doesn't panic when crop prices dip in a given year, Munger doesn't flinch when stock prices decline. He knows that over time, the market will recognize the true value of great businesses.
But this approach requires more than just intellectual understanding. It demands emotional discipline. As Munger puts it, "It takes character to sit there with all that cash and do nothing. I didn't get to where I am by going after mediocre opportunities."
During the 2008 crisis, when Berkshire's stock was down over 50%, Munger wasn't just sitting on his hands. He was actively looking for opportunities, knowing that times of maximum pessimism often present the best buying opportunities. This is the essence of his quote about reacting with equanimity to market declines.
The ability to remain calm and rational when others are panicking is what separates great investors from the mediocre ones. It's easy to buy when everyone is optimistic and sell when everyone is pessimistic. But that's a surefire way to buy high and sell low – the exact opposite of what successful investing requires.
Munger's approach demands a long-term perspective. He's not interested in quarterly results or short-term price movements. He's playing a different game entirely, one that unfolds over decades rather than days or months. This long-term view allows him to see past the noise of daily market fluctuations and focus on the underlying value of businesses.
In the end, Munger's philosophy boils down to this: The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient. Those who can't stomach temporary declines, even severe ones, are destined to underperform. They'll buy in euphoria and sell in panic, always chasing yesterday's returns.
But those who can react with equanimity to market declines, who can see the opportunity in crisis, are positioned to reap extraordinary rewards. They're the ones who, like Munger and Buffett, will be buying when others are selling, accumulating shares of great businesses at bargain prices.
Ask yourself: Am I reacting with equanimity? Or am I letting fear drive my decisions? The answer to that question might just determine whether you achieve investing success or settle for mediocre results.
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