- The Wisdom Compounder
- Posts
- How a Simple Business Outfizzed Management Mishaps
How a Simple Business Outfizzed Management Mishaps
Go for a business that any idiot can run - because sooner or later, any idiot probably is going to run it.
No company embodies this principle quite like Coca-Cola, whose journey through the infamous "New Coke" debacle of 1985 serves as a testament to the resilience of a fundamentally sound business model.
The story of New Coke is a cautionary tale that perfectly illustrates Lynch's point. In the early 1980s, Coca-Cola was losing market share to Pepsi, particularly in the crucial "Pepsi Challenge" taste tests. In response, Coca-Cola's management decided to reformulate their flagship product, launching "New Coke" in 1985. It was a decision that, on paper, seemed logical - if consumers preferred the taste of Pepsi, why not create a sweeter Coke?
What followed was nothing short of a marketing disaster. Consumers revolted, hoarding cases of the original formula and flooding the company with angry calls and letters. It was as if Coca-Cola had tried to repaint the Statue of Liberty or rewrite the Declaration of Independence. The backlash was swift and severe.
Now, you might be thinking, "Isn't this a perfect example of bad management ruining a good thing?" And you'd be right - to a point. But here's where the magic of Coca-Cola's business model comes into play. Despite this colossal blunder, Coca-Cola not only survived but thrived in the long run.
Think of Coca-Cola's business model like a mighty river. Management's decision to launch New Coke was akin to trying to dam that river. For a while, it caused turbulence and disruption. But the fundamental strength of the brand - its simplicity, its ubiquity, its place in American culture - was so powerful that it eventually broke through the dam, flowing even stronger than before.
Within months, Coca-Cola reintroduced the original formula as "Coca-Cola Classic," and sales soared. The New Coke fiasco, paradoxically, had reminded consumers just how much they loved the original product. It's like the old saying, "You don't know what you've got till it's gone." Except in this case, when it came back, people appreciated it even more.
Investing in businesses so fundamentally sound that they can withstand management missteps. Coca-Cola's product is simple - it's a sugary, carbonated beverage that hasn't changed much in over a century. Its distribution network is vast and entrenched. Its brand is one of the most recognized in the world. These factors create a business so robust that even a major management blunder couldn't derail it.
Consider the alternative. If Coca-Cola had been a complex tech company relying on constant innovation and perfect execution, the New Coke debacle might have been fatal. It's like the difference between sailing a sturdy, well-built ship and trying to keep a complicated, experimental aircraft aloft. When storms hit - and in business, they always do - you want to be on the vessel that can weather the tempest.
While it's tempting to chase after the next big thing or the most innovative company, there's immense value in businesses that are simple, understandable, and resilient. These are the companies that can survive and thrive even when management takes a wrong turn.
This doesn't mean you should only invest in beverage companies or consumer staples. But it does mean you should look for businesses with strong, simple foundations. Companies with loyal customer bases, strong brand recognition, and products or services that fulfill a basic, enduring need. These are the businesses that can survive an "idiot" at the helm.
In the end, Coca-Cola's New Coke saga reminds us that in investing, as in life, sometimes the simplest solutions are the most enduring. It's not about finding a business that needs a genius to run it. It's about finding a business so good that it can succeed despite the occasional folly of its leaders.
So the next time you're considering an investment, ask yourself: Could this business survive if it were run by someone not quite as sharp as its current leadership? Could it weather a major mistake and come out stronger on the other side? If the answer is yes, you might just have found a Coca-Cola in the making - a simple, robust business that can stand the test of time, management mishaps and all.
Reply