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How Philip Fisher's Patience Turned Semiconductors into Gold
The Texas Instruments Triumph
I don't want to spend my time trying to earn a lot of little profits. I want very, very big profits that I'm ready to wait for
Back in 1956, when most Americans were still getting used to the idea of transistor radios, Fisher saw a future where tiny electronic components would revolutionize every aspect of our lives. Texas Instruments, at the time, was a relatively unknown company dabbling in semiconductors. But Fisher, with his keen eye for long-term potential, saw something more.
Fisher's investment in Texas Instruments wasn't based on a hot tip or a flashy earnings report. Instead, he used what he called the "scuttlebutt" method - essentially, good old-fashioned legwork. He talked to Texas Instruments' employees, competitors, and customers. He studied the company's research and development efforts. What he found was a company poised to ride the wave of an electronics revolution.
Now, you might be thinking, "Sure, hindsight is 20/20. Anyone could have seen that semiconductors would be big." But that's precisely the point - in 1956, most people couldn't see it. The first integrated circuit wouldn't be invented until 1958, and its potential impact was far from clear. Fisher's investment was based on his deep understanding of the company's potential, not just its current performance.
Fisher's approach to Texas Instruments was like planting an acorn and having the patience to wait for it to grow into a mighty oak. While others were busy trading saplings, Fisher was nurturing his tree, knowing that its true value would only be realized over time. And boy, did that tree grow. By the time Fisher wrote about this investment in his 1980 book "Developing an Investment Philosophy," his initial stake had grown twentyfold.
Fisher held onto his Texas Instruments shares for decades. That's nearly half a century of holding onto a single stock. It's like finding the perfect wave and riding it all the way to shore, even when others are jumping off to catch smaller, more frequent waves.
This approach flies in the face of conventional wisdom about diversification and active trading. You've probably heard the saying, "Don't put all your eggs in one basket." Well, Fisher's philosophy was more like, "Put your eggs in a few baskets, but watch those baskets very, very carefully."
If you're a farmer, would you rather plant a hundred different crops and spend all your time running from field to field, or plant a few carefully chosen crops that you know will yield a bountiful harvest if given enough time and attention? Fisher chose the latter, and his Texas Instruments crop turned out to be a bumper harvest.
This strategy isn't for the faint of heart. It requires an incredible amount of patience, conviction, and yes, a bit of luck. It's like being a gold prospector who spends years studying geology, analyzing rock formations, and finally striking a rich vein. Once you've found that gold, you don't just take a few nuggets and move on - you mine that vein for all it's worth.
Fisher's Texas Instruments investment also highlights another crucial aspect of his philosophy - the importance of looking beyond the numbers. While financial statements and metrics are important, Fisher believed that the qualitative aspects of a company - its management, its culture, its capacity for innovation - were even more critical for long-term success.
In Texas Instruments' case, Fisher was impressed by the company's commitment to research and development, its focus on innovation, and its forward-thinking management. He saw a company that wasn't content with its current success but was always looking to the horizon for the next big opportunity.
It's not about trying to time the market or make quick profits. It's about finding companies with the potential for sustained, long-term growth and sticking with them through thick and thin. It's like being a farmer who carefully selects the best seeds, plants them in fertile soil, and then tends to them patiently, knowing that the harvest will come in due time.
Fisher's strategy also demands a high tolerance for short-term volatility. During his decades-long holding period, Texas Instruments' stock price undoubtedly had its ups and downs. But Fisher wasn't fazed by these fluctuations. He understood that the stock market is like a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term. His focus was on the company's fundamental value and long-term prospects, not on day-to-day price movements.
In the end, Fisher's investment in Texas Instruments wasn't just about making money - although it certainly did that. It was about recognizing and participating in a company that was changing the world. It was about having the vision to see potential where others saw only the present, and the patience to let that potential unfold over decades.
Sometimes, the path to extraordinary returns isn't about making a lot of small gains, but about finding those rare opportunities for very, very big profits - and having the patience to wait for them. After all, as Fisher might say, "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient."
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