How the Oracle of Omaha Turned 9/11 War Fears into Wealth

Buffett's Bold Bet

Don't be afraid of buying on a war scare.

Philip Fisher

In the tumultuous days following the 9/11 attacks, when the world seemed to be teetering on the brink of chaos, most investors were running for the hills. But one man saw opportunity in the midst of crisis. Warren Buffett, the legendary investor from Omaha, embodied Philip Fisher's wisdom: "Don't be afraid of buying on a war scare." His actions in those uncertain times provide a masterclass in contrarian investing and the courage to act when others are paralyzed by fear.

As the dust settled on Ground Zero and the U.S. geared up for war, Buffett was quietly amassing shares in companies he believed would weather the storm. One of his most notable moves was increasing Berkshire Hathaway's stake in Wells Fargo. While others fretted about the impact of war on the economy, Buffett saw a well-run bank trading at a discount due to short-term fears.

This wasn't just a lucky guess. Buffett understood something fundamental about markets and human nature. He knew that in times of crisis, people often overreact, selling indiscriminately and creating opportunities for those with the courage to act. It's like being the only person willing to buy umbrellas on a sunny day – you might look foolish at first, but you'll be glad you did when the rain comes.

Buffett's bet paid off handsomely. In the years following 9/11, Wells Fargo's stock price more than doubled, significantly outperforming the broader market. But the real lesson here isn't about predicting the future – it's about having the fortitude to stick to your principles when everyone else is losing their heads.

Fisher understood that wars and other geopolitical crises, while devastating in human terms, often have less impact on the long-term prospects of good businesses than people expect. It's like a sturdy oak tree in a storm – it may bend, but it won't break.

Great companies don't stop being great just because the world is in turmoil. In fact, times of crisis can often strengthen their competitive positions as weaker rivals falter. It's like a forest fire that, while destructive, clears the way for new growth and allows the strongest trees to thrive.

For the average investor, this doesn't mean blindly buying stocks every time there's a hint of geopolitical tension. Instead, it's about developing the mental fortitude to see beyond the headlines and focus on the fundamentals. It's about asking yourself: "Has this crisis really changed the long-term outlook for this business, or is this just a temporary setback?"

Buffett's actions after 9/11 remind us that successful investing often requires going against the grain. It's about being greedy when others are fearful, as Buffett himself famously said. This doesn't mean being reckless – it means doing your homework and having the courage of your convictions.

Buffett's post-9/11 investments weren't just about making money. They were a vote of confidence in the resilience of the American economy and the human spirit. By buying when others were selling, he sent a powerful message: that even in the darkest times, there's reason for optimism.

So next time the world seems to be falling apart and your instinct is to sell everything, remember Warren Buffett calmly buying Wells Fargo after 9/11. Take a deep breath, look beyond the chaos, and ask yourself: "Is this a crisis, or is it an opportunity in disguise?" Because sometimes, the best investments are made when it feels like the worst time to invest.

Reply

or to participate.